Times Series Econometrics

2026/2027

Academic Year

ENG

Instruction in English

3

ECTS credits

Delivered at:

Department of Economics

Course type:

Compulsory course

When:

2 year, 1 module

Instructor

Skorobogatov, Alexander

Course Syllabus

Abstract

Time series analysis is one of the natural extensions of Econometrics I and other corresponding econometrics related courses. The focus of the course is adopting and extending techniques and results from the baseline econometrics courses to the case of time series related theoretical and empirical problems

Learning Objectives

• supposed to provide the students with a set of tools that are useful for both theoretical and empirical modeling of dynamic economic data coming in the form of both univariate and multivariate time series
• content covers (but not limited to) an overview of the crucial theoretical results of contemporary time series econometrics and of the approaches towards empirical application of these results to empirical data and tasks, including estimation of dynamic economic models and practical forecasting

Expected Learning Outcomes

• students will be able to statistically describe and analyze various dynamic economic data coming in the form of time series
• construct and analyze models of the corresponding economic processes, to construct relevant predictions of the data

Course Contents

• 1. Introduction
• 2. ARMA process
• 3. Unit root tests
• 4. Seasonality in ARIMA model
• 5. ARIMAX and SARIMAX models

Assessment Elements

• Midterm exam
• Final exam
  The exam lasts 80 minutes. The student has to solve 10 exercises where each exercise gives either 1 or 0 points. The sum of the points is the examination mark. If the script does not work, the student receives 0 for the whole exam. This is an open book test.

Interim Assessment

• 2026/2027 1st module
  0.4 * Midterm exam + 0.6 * Final exam

Bibliography

Recommended Core Bibliography

• Time series econometrics : learning through replication, , 2019

Recommended Additional Bibliography

• Econometrics by example, Gujarati, D., 2012
• Time series analysis, Hamilton, J. D., 1994

Authors

• Brodskaia Natalia Nikolaevna
• Skorobogatov Aleksandr Sergeevich